Showing posts with label Stock Price Analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stock Price Analysis. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 10, 2014

Review of stock analysis::Which of the following does someone using fundamentals ...







Review of stock analysis::Which of the following does someone using fundamentals ...









Investment               success               is               pretty               much               a               matter               of               careful               selection               and               timing               of               stock               purchases               coupled               with               impeccable               matching               to               your               individual               risk               tolerance.

In               order               to               carry               out               selection,               timing               and               matching               actions               an               investor               must               conduct               deep               security               analysis.

The               first               two               steps               in               security               analysis               are               Economic               Analysis               and               Industry               Analysis               which               have               been               covered               in               the               first               two               installments               of               this               three               part               series.

The               third               step               is               Fundamental               Analysis               which               is               the               in-depth               study               of               the               finances               and               operating               outcomes               of               a               company.

We               believe               the               value               of               common               stock               is               determined               in               large               measure               by               the               performance               of               the               firm               that               issued               the               stock.

If               the               company               is               healthy               and               can               demonstrate               strength               and               growth,               the               value               of               the               stock               will               increase.

When               values               increase               then               prices               follow               and               returns               on               an               investment               will               increase.

However,               just               to               keep               the               savvy               investor               on               their               toes,               the               mix               is               complicated               by               the               risk               factors               involved.

Fundamental               analysis               examines               all               the               dimensions               of               risk               exposure               and               the               probabilities               of               return,               and               merges               them               with               broader               economic               analysis               and               greater               industry               analysis               to               formulate               the               valuation               of               a               stock.
               Look               at               the               company               from               inside               and               outside               to               identify               their               strong               points               and               how               they               are               taking               advantage               of               them.

Identify               weaknesses               and               how               they               guard               against               them               and               seek               to               overcome               them.

Assess               the               speed               and               effectiveness               of               actions               to               fend               off               threats               and               take               advantage               of               opportunities.

Financial               statements               are               the               heart               of               company               analysis               and               no               undertaking               of               security               analysis               is               complete               without               in-depth               scrutiny               of               the               balance               sheet,               the               income               statement               and               the               statement               of               cash               flows.


               •               The               Balance               Sheet               gives               a               snapshot               of               a               firm's               assets,               liabilities               and               shareholder               equities               at               a               specific               point               in               time.


               •               The               Income               Statement               gives               the               history               of               the               operating               results               over               a               specific               period               of               time,               generally               a               year.


               •               The               Statement               of               Cash               Flows               is               a               record               of               the               money               in               and               the               money               out,               plus               any               other               events               that               cause               changes               in               the               company's               fiscal               position.
               The               Balance               Sheet               and               the               Income               Statement               will               give               you               the               data               needed               to               compute               the               financial               ratios               you               need               for               security               analysis.

The               Statement               of               Cash               Flows               will               illuminate               the               cash/liquidity               position               of               the               company.

These               documents               plus               accompanying               notes               and               comments               can               be               found               in               the               Company's               Annual               Report.
               The               reason               ratios               are               so               important               to               the               security               analysis               process               is               because               they               are               a               visual               representation               of               the               relationships               between               the               various               financial               statement               accounts.

It               is               important               for               the               wise               investor               to               look               at               what               the               ratios               indicate               about               the               liquidity,               activity,               or               profitability               of               the               company.

Security               analysis               is               all               about               studying               the               historical               activity               of               the               firm               to               be               able               to               make               predictions               about               the               future.
               There               are               five               basic               groups               of               financial               ratios.

They               tell               us               about:               
               (1)               Liquidity               Ratios.

Generally               this               is               the               Current               Ratio               and               is               computed               by               dividing               the               current               assets               figure               by               the               current               liabilities               figure.


               (2)               Activity               Ratios.

These               are               used               to               determine               how               well               the               company               is               managing               its               assets               and               are               the               turnover               ratios.

Accounts               receivable               turnover               is               calculated               by               dividing               the               annual               sales               by               the               accounts               receivable,               Total               asset               turnover               is               calculated               by               dividing               annual               sales               by               total               assets.


               (3)               Leverage.

Debt               to               Equity               ratios               give               you               a               look               at               the               company               financial               structure               and               are               computed               by               dividing               the               long-term               debt               by               the               stockholder's               equity               
               (4)               Profitability.

measured               by               calculating               the               Net               Profit               Margin               (divide               the               Net               profit               after               taxes               by               total               revenues)               the               Return               on               Assets               (divide               the               net               profit               after               taxes               by               the               total               assets)               And               the               Return               on               Equity               (divide               the               Net               profit               after               taxes               by               the               Stockholder's               equity)               and               
               (5)               Common               Stock               or               Market               Measures.

These               measures               convert               important               data               about               a               company               to               per               share               information,               the               most               commonly               used               may               be               the               P/E               or               Price               to               Earnings               ratio               calculated               by               dividing               the               Market               price               of               common               stock               by               the               company's               earnings               per               share.
               Gitman               and               Joehnk,               in               their               book               "Fundamentals               of               Investing",               inform               us               that               most               investors               do               not               do               the               math               themselves.

There               are               many               published               reports               of               current               ratios               for               public               companies.

Many               brokerage               houses,               financial               services               firms,               and               online               sources               make               this               material               available               to               the               wise               investor.
               Putting               it               all               together               is               a               matter               of               comparing               historical               and               industry               standards               to               your               target               company,               examining               the               competition,               and               making               your               assessment               of               the               developing               trends               within               the               company,               the               industry               and               the               economy.
               References:               
               Gitman               and               Joehnk,               2003,               Fundamentals               of               Investing,               Pearson-Wiley               Addison
               Benz               and               Dorsey,               2006,               Morningstar               Complete               Investor,               Wiley
               Hoover               Online,               http://www.hoovers.com
               .









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