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 The               Dow               Jones               Industrial               Average               recently               closed               above               10,000.
 
 While               the               broader               economy               has               shown               some               "               green               shoots"               of               improved               economic               activity,               the               jobless               rate               is               now               above               10%.
 
 Why               has               the               stock               market               recovered               if               the               economy               has               only               recently               begun               to               recover?
 
 For               one               thing,               the               stock               market               and               Wall               Street               in               general               is               not               the               "rational"               system               that               bankers               and               others               in               the               world               of               finance               had               believed               it               was.
 
 Indeed,               it               was               thought               for               much               of               the               past               decade               that               the               market               was               somehow               smarter               than               the               institutional               regulations               they               were               enacted               to               protect               the               small               bank               depositor               and               investor.
 
 However,               the               stock               market               depends               upon               rumor               and               speculative               guesses               as               much               as               the               paparazzi               and               the               tabloid               press.
 
 When               it               looked               like               the               world,               and               the               United               States,               was               headed               for               financial               ruin,               the               Dow               dropped               to               less               than               7000.
 
 While               certainly               the               economy               did               not,               and               in               some               senses               still               does               not,               look               so               rosy,               this               precipitous               decline               did               not               reflect               the               long-term               value               of               several               blue               chip               stocks               in               the               Dow.
 
 The               most               prudent               investment               strategy               involves               long-term               investment               in               companies               which               have               a               proven               track               record               in               addition               to               reasonable               expectations               and               grow.
 
 However,               due               to               increased               trading               volume               on               the               markets               over               the               past               decades,               the               stock               market               has               become               more               of               an               overall               popularity               index               based               on               current               reporting               of               the               economy.
 This               means               that               any               recession,               such               as               the               one               we're               in,               can               greatly               decrease               the               value               of               commonly               held               stocks               in               the               short               term.
 
 Conversely,               when               the               market               recovers,               stocks               can               also               experienced               a               marked               increase               in               value.
 
 Of               course,               so               called               "               fundamentals"               of               the               companies               that               investors               choose               to               invest               in               also               will               determine               stock               prices.
 
 However,               the               short               term               volatility               of               the               market's               made               obscure               true               value               of               stocks.
 For               example,               commonly               held               stock               such               as               financials,               experienced               in               a               market               decrease               in               value               during               the               current               recession.
 
 Such               that               some               stocks               for               banks               such               as               Citigroup               reached               a               low               of               less               than               a               dollar               during               the               past               year,               while               reaching               highs               above               fifty               dollars               over               the               past               five               years.
 
 Such               volatility,               is               obviously               based               on               real               factors               such               as               the               gov't               bailout               which               saved               several               large               financial               institutions               from               ruin.
 
 However,               the               24               hour               news               cycle               has               more               of               an               influence               on               stock               prices               than               realistic               expectations               of               future               earnings.
 What               does               this               mean               for               the               average               investor?
 
 In               the               long               term,               stocks               are               still               a               good               choice               for               those               looking               to               retire.
 
 However,               a               feature               recession               could               lead               to               a               similar               decrease               in               if               the               Dow               in               future               decades,               which               could               lead               to               a               similar               situation               in               which               retirees               need               to               delay               their               retirement.
 
 The               best               way               to               avoid               the               negative               impact               the               fluctuations               in               the               stock               market               can               happen               your               retirement               portfolio               is               to               decrease               the               percentage               of               your               savings               in               stock               as               you               get               older.
 
 The               best               way               to               determine               the               best               mix               of               stocks               and               other               investment               tools               such               as               CDs               is               to               talk               to               a               financial               adviser.
 
 In               however,               relatively               young               investors               in               their               twenties               or               thirties               can               at               this               point               and               that's               relatively               risk               free               in               mutual               funds               and               broad               indexes.
 
 The               old               rule               of               thumb               was               that               100               minus               your               age               equals               the               percentage               of               your               portfolio               that               should               be               in               stock.
 Obviously,               the               recent               swings               in               the               stock               market               would               make               any               rational               investor               jittery.
 
 However,               with               CDs               offering               very               low               rates               of               return,               now               may               be               a               good               time               to               buy               certain               stocks               and               freeze               the               ball               prices.
 
 As               Don               Novello's               character,               Father               Guido               Sarducci,               used               to               say               on               Saturday               Night               Live,               all               you               need               to               know               about               the               stock               market               is               "               by               low,               and               sell               high."               While               the               Dow               has               recovered               a               good               portion               of               the               value               that               it               lost               off               of               it's               highs               above               14,000,               there               still               is               a               long               way               to               go,               and               young               investors               looking               for               a               place               to               save               some               money               should               consider               stocks               over               the               next               decade.
 Sources:
 http://money.cnn.com/2009/11/10/markets/markets_newyork/index.htm
 http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/.DJIA/tab/2
 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Father_Guido_Sarducci
 
 
 
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